Friday, November 14, 2008
FROM JSMINESET.COM
Whither the US dollar?
* by Ronald Solberg
* November 03, 2008
http://www.prudentbear.com/index.php/commentary/guestcommentary?art_id=10148
US dollar Appreciation
The US dollar as measured against six major world currencies has appreciated approximately 19% during the last three months through end-October. In particular, the US Dollar index stands at 85, up from a recent low of 71.3. This trend reversal takes the US dollar’s valuation back to levels not seen since October, 2006 and represents nearly a 38.2% retracement from its index peak of 120 in January, 2002; by any measure a significant move and one largely unexpected by the financial markets both in terms of its timing, speed and magnitude.
What has caused this abrupt appreciation of the US dollar during the past quarter and what can we expect over the next 12-24 months? There are both fundamental and technical reasons that have been US dollar supportive in the past several months.
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